Forecasting Genocide and Politicide for Early Warning and Prevention

Guest speaker:

Benjamin E. GOLDSMITH, Associate Professor in the Department of Government and International Relations at the University of Sydney, and chief investigator of the project

 

Discussant: Scott STRAUSS, University of Wisconsin-Madison, visiting fellow at CERI-Sciences Po

 

This talk will present findings from a project to develop a quantitative forecasting tool for serious political instability, mass atrocities, and genocide. The project, ‘Understanding and Forecasting Political Instability, Mass Atrocities, and Genocide: Combining Social Science and Machine Learning Approaches’ combines expertise from political science and computer science.

More information about the project is available here: http://www.r2pasiapacific.org/index.html?page=158088

A paper is available here:
http://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=2027396

 

Research seminar organised by the Online Encyclopedia of Mass Violence

Responsable scientifique : Jacques SEMELIN, CNRS/CERI-Sciences Po